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You are here: Home / Archives for Economic Trends

Economic Trends

Housing Affordability Index Collapses to Lowest Level in 22 Years

July 13, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

Latest news on the Housing Affordability Index

The latest data on home affordability from the National Realtors Association, tracked in its Housing Affordability Index, shows that housing is at its least affordable level in 22 years. And that’s not just for first-time buyers, but for home upgraders as well. Not only that, but new economic data suggests that this declining housing affordability will remain an issue for some time yet to come.

See the latest Housing Affordability Index data

[Read more…] about Housing Affordability Index Collapses to Lowest Level in 22 Years

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Housing, News Tagged With: housing affordability index, inflation, mortgage rates

Global Manufacturing Inventory Levels Hit a Record $1.8 Trillion

July 5, 2022 by Ted 1 Comment

Record high manufacturing inventory levels could mean trouble
[Photo: Getty Images and AFP/Jiji]

Manufacturers Struggle with Multiple Global Challenges

A broad group of global manufacturers in diverse markets from Ford to Samsung have seen their inventory levels swell as consumer demand weakens in the wake of surging inflation and destabilizing economic conditions, according to a new analysis by the Nikkei. According to their research, global manufacturing inventories have swelled to $1.8 trillion, a record total that is the highest measured manufacturing inventory level in the last ten years.

Learn more about rising manufacturing inventory levels

[Read more…] about Global Manufacturing Inventory Levels Hit a Record $1.8 Trillion

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Manufacturers, News, supply chain Tagged With: Asus, Ford, inventory, Mercedes-Benz, Samsung Electronics

Consumer Confidence in June at Lowest Level in 16 Mos

June 29, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

Consumer Confidence in June dropped

The Conference Board announced on Tuesday that consumer confidence in June, as measured by their Consumer Confidence Index, a key indicator of the state of mind of the U.S. consumer, has dropped to a reading of 98.7. This is the first time that the Index has been under its 100 reference level since a post-2020 pandemic recovery. Generally, a reading under 100 indicates a pessimistic consumer likely to cut back on spending.

This is the lowest reading for consumer confidence since February 2021.

See the latest on a declining consumer confidence index

[Read more…] about Consumer Confidence in June at Lowest Level in 16 Mos

Filed Under: Consumer Trends, Economic Trends, News Tagged With: Consumer Confidence Index, Expectation Index, Lynn Franco, Present Situation Index, The Conference Board

What?! Both New Homes Sales & Pending Home Sales Jump in May

June 27, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

Photo of home by Shenandoah Homes

A Fluke? Or is Housing Making a Comeback?

Data released on Friday by the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development showed that sales of newly constructed homes actually increased in May. At the same time, the National Association of Realtors released new data on pending home sales which also showed a surprise jump in contracts in May.

What’s going on? Is the housing market mounting a comeback?

What does this surprise increase in new & pending home sales mean?

[Read more…] about What?! Both New Homes Sales & Pending Home Sales Jump in May

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Housing, News Tagged With: existing home sales, inflation, mortgage rates, new home sales

Housing Starts in May Slide -14.4%, Lowest Level of Building in 13-Months

June 20, 2022 by Ted 2 Comments

Photo of a home being built

A new report by the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development notes that residential housing construction starts (housing starts) has taken a pretty severe downturn in May with overall starts sliding fully -14.4%. This is yet another indicator of the slowing growth in the housing market, as rising mortgage rates, overall inflation, and high housing prices begin to cool the once red-hot housing market.

See all the details from the latest report on housing starts…

[Read more…] about Housing Starts in May Slide -14.4%, Lowest Level of Building in 13-Months

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Housing, News, Residential Tagged With: housing starts, residential construction

Economic Anxiety Builds with Unexpected Jump in Inflation in May; Stocks Turn Bearish

June 14, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

S&P Index ytd performance in bear territory due to inflation
The S&P Index dropped 22% this year by the end-of-day Monday…a bear market

>Consumer Sentiment Hits Record Low in June

Things are changing in the economy faster now, causing a dramatic uptick in economic anxiety. The fuse was lit last Friday when the latest government data showed that inflation increased to 8.6% in May compared to last year. The reading on inflation had been widely expected by most economists to drop a point or two from the 8.3% rate of inflation reported in April. The news sent Wall Street into a tailspin as traders interpreted the increase in inflation as a heightened risk of recession.

See more on changing economic trends, like inflation

[Read more…] about Economic Anxiety Builds with Unexpected Jump in Inflation in May; Stocks Turn Bearish

Filed Under: Consumer Trends, Economic Trends, Financial, News Tagged With: Index of Consumer Sentiment, inflation, Wall Street

Mortgage Demand Drops to Its Lowest Level in 22-Years

June 9, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

mortgage demand declines

Almost weekly now, we are regularly seeing new data showing the dramatic slowdown of the housing market. A case in point is the latest data from the Mortgage Bankers Association which tracks the weekly demand for mortgages for both home purchases and for refinancing. The Association reported that its index hit its lowest level in demand for mortgages in 22-years.

See more on the slide in mortgage demand

[Read more…] about Mortgage Demand Drops to Its Lowest Level in 22-Years

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Financial, Housing Tagged With: mortgage applications

Sales of Newly Constructed Homes Collapse in April; Odds of Recession Tick Higher

May 24, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

sales of newly constructed homes collapse

Sales of newly constructed homes virtually collapsed in April in a double-digit decline that surprised economists and added to the growing evidence that the housing market is entering a downturn. This downturn in housing adds to growing concerns of a recession, as it comes on the heels of the tech industry decline, and new retailer warnings of slackening demand and supply chain driven cost increases.

See the surprising numbers out of the housing market today

[Read more…] about Sales of Newly Constructed Homes Collapse in April; Odds of Recession Tick Higher

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Housing, News, Pivot Point Tagged With: existing home sales, housing starts, inflation, residential construction

April Housing Starts Decline Again; Builder Sentiment in Steep Slide in May

May 19, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

housing starts off in April; Builder sentiment slides
[PHOTO: REUTERS/Mike Blake]

In yet another sign of a slowing economy, April residential housing construction starts declined for the second straight month in a row. At the same time, the Housing Market Index, a key gauge of homebuilder confidence, collapsed in May.

See what’s going on in with housing starts & builders

[Read more…] about April Housing Starts Decline Again; Builder Sentiment in Steep Slide in May

Filed Under: construction, Economic Trends, Housing, News Tagged With: builder sentiment, housing starts, residential construction

More Data Emerges That Points to a Slowing Economy

April 28, 2022 by Ted Leave a Comment

The headquarters of Netflix is shown in Los Gatos

I’ve put together a compendium of data that emerged this week that continues to point to the reality of a slowing economy. The picture gets clearer as more economic measures, including non-traditional measures like the Fluffy Puppy Indicator and home foreclosures reinforce the thinking of economists that more drastic action by the Fed to get inflation under control may lead us into the “R” word…recession.

See my compendium of some new, and some non-traditional data on the economy

[Read more…] about More Data Emerges That Points to a Slowing Economy

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Housing, Industry Trends

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Ted Green Bio

A former dealer, manufacturer, distributor & more. Focusing on business strategy, my goal is to help you make better decisions for greater success.

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