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You are here: Home / Archives for Economic Trends

Economic Trends

Conflicting Housing Data Shows Economic Zigs & Zags

April 25, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

Housing Prices Photo

Two different economic reports on the residential housing market show conflicting results. One report is on the latest data in housing starts…the other contains the latest results on new home sales. But these reports paint two very different pictures. Is housing growing? Or rather, is it fading?

Read on to see what’s happening in housing…

[Read more…] about Conflicting Housing Data Shows Economic Zigs & Zags

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Statistics Tagged With: housing starts, new home sales, residential

Despite End of Gov’t Shutdown, Consumer Confidence Drops in March

April 4, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

Photo of shoppers

In the latest report on consumer confidence, The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index showed a significant drop in overall confidence in the month of March. The Conference Board characterized this drop as “unexpected.” Economists are taking note of this result as March is the first full month after the partial government shutdown in February, and many had expected a more favorable reading.

See more on the consumer confidence trend…

[Read more…] about Despite End of Gov’t Shutdown, Consumer Confidence Drops in March

Filed Under: Consumer Trends, Economic Trends, Statistics Tagged With: Consumer Confidence Index, NAHB, National Association of Home Builders, The Conference Board

The Volatile ‘Fits & Starts’ of Housing Starts

March 13, 2019 by Ted 2 Comments

Census Bureau Logo

As regular Strata-gee readers know, I follow basic economic data for our readers. Not all economic data, just that data I feel are germane to the custom integration and consumer electronics industries. Normally, that is a fairly sane and sedate task – but lately, it has gotten a bit crazy, with wild up/down swings the likes of which I haven’t seen since the last great recession. Take housing starts, for example…

See the latest data on housing starts…

[Read more…] about The Volatile ‘Fits & Starts’ of Housing Starts

Filed Under: Economic Trends, Statistics Tagged With: housing starts, residential construction, residential housing

New Home Sales Rise in December, But Remain Lower Than Last Year

March 6, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

Housing Prices Photo

New data from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development shows that sales of new single-family homes in December were a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 621,000 or 3.7% above the revised rate in November of 599,000. However, it remained 2.4% below the year-ago rate of sales in December 2017 of 636,000.

See more new home sales data…

[Read more…] about New Home Sales Rise in December, But Remain Lower Than Last Year

Filed Under: Economic Trends, News, Statistics Tagged With: new home sales, residential housing

Dec. Housing Starts Drop to Lowest Rate Since 2016

February 27, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

Photo of housing under construction

The U.S. Commerce Department released new data this week on housing starts for December 2018. Overall residential construction dropped to 1.08 million units on a seasonally adjusted annual rate or 11.2% lower than the November rate of 1.2 million units. This is the lowest rate of residential construction since September 2016.

See more on this key economic indicator…

[Read more…] about Dec. Housing Starts Drop to Lowest Rate Since 2016

Filed Under: Economic Trends, News, Statistics Tagged With: housing, housing starts, residential housing, starts

Nearly 8 of 10 Economists Predict Recession by 2021

February 27, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

graph showing economists expect recession ahead

A new survey by a business economics organization reveals that nearly 8 out of 10 economists (77%) say there will be a recession in the U.S. by 2021. A majority or 52% of them suggest that a recession will take place by the end of 2020. Yet even so, a majority of these economists anticipate that the Federal Reserve Board will continue to raise interest rates yet this year.

See the surprising results of this survey of economists…

[Read more…] about Nearly 8 of 10 Economists Predict Recession by 2021

Filed Under: Economic Trends Tagged With: inflation, recession, tariffs

Pending Home Sales Decline for 3rd Month in a Row

January 31, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

NAR logo

In a result that was not expected by most industry analysts, contract signings to purchase previously owned homes dropped in December for the third month in a row. The news is widely viewed as yet another indicator of a housing industry slowdown, along with declining affordability and rising housing and mortgage costs.

See more on this drop in pending home sales…

[Read more…] about Pending Home Sales Decline for 3rd Month in a Row

Filed Under: Economic Trends, News, Statistics Tagged With: economy, housing, pending home sales

Latest Data Increases Concerns of Economic Downturn

January 23, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

Photo of 'For Sale' sign

New data from multiple sources are increasing economists concerns of an economic downturn within the next two years – perhaps even later this year. The latest readings on consumer confidence/sentiment and existing home sales show sharp downturns, sparking new debates on the real health of the economy.

See more on what data is rattling economist’s…

[Read more…] about Latest Data Increases Concerns of Economic Downturn

Filed Under: Economic Trends, News, Research, Statistics, Survey Tagged With: consumer confidence, Consumer Confidence Index, consumer sentiment, existing-home sales, recession, University of Michigan

New Poll Shows Consumer Mood is Mixed

January 2, 2019 by Ted Leave a Comment

Gallup logoFully 70% of the U.S. economy is based on consumer spending, so economic and market pros watch moves in consumer sentiment closely…and so do I. In a new poll from research expert Gallup, we find consumer sentiment mixed – curiously so, considering how strong the economy seems to be at the moment.

Find out what Gallup discovered about how consumers are feeling right now… [Read more…] about New Poll Shows Consumer Mood is Mixed

Filed Under: Consumer Trends, Economic Trends, Statistics, Survey Tagged With: consumer, consumer sentiment, consumer spending, consumer survey, Gallup

New Housing Data Continues to Point to a Downturn

December 19, 2018 by Ted Leave a Comment

Housing Prices PhotoAs I write this on Wednesday, December 19th the stock market has closed down 351.98 points or nearly 1.5% to its lowest level of the year, according to CNBC. The broader S&P 500 Index also closed at a 2018 low. But as bad as this news is, perhaps even more concerning are two key indicators for the housing market – single-family housing starts and homebuilder sentiment – both of which showed disappointing results.

See more red economic flags from the housing market… [Read more…] about New Housing Data Continues to Point to a Downturn

Filed Under: Economic Trends, News Tagged With: homebuilders, homebuilders sentiment, housing starts, residential construction, stock market

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A former dealer, manufacturer, distributor & more. Focusing on business strategy, my goal is to help you make better decisions for greater success.

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